2012年3月2日星期五

Real estate market lost

Volume of the interpretation of? We extraction Beijing and Shanghai in recent 5 years "11" festival is the same period volume (see figure 1 and figure 2), display Numbers and cannot come to the present market is one of history's most the doldrums of the state.baseball hats Maybe to before the end of the year, we may not see appear similar may or June downturn that volume, even if all this is beyond most people expected, and desire to backfire. Figure 1: Beijing in recent years, "11" volume figure 2: Shanghai in recent years, "11" currency trading volume of MoYing RMB are in a new round of tangible, full of uncertain erratic appreciation cycle, and RMB deposit rate is still in inflation stubborn background in historical lows, currency so distorted the configuration and mix build, objectively support on real estate bubbles are abnormal "strong". Graph 3: the yuan against the dollar exchange rate this year figure 4: real estate prices and deposit interest rate of the folks from future if launched at the end of the real estate control policy, count so should now is the third round. Because it is a way to control requirements (if appear control measures, after prices into "plan market" is "normal".) , it may be phased in volume influence, and may well be policy digestive cycle "regret" to unexpected in the second round to short.soccer jerseys If that's the case, current policy is obviously not the last time, the future market and policy confrontation will not last in a moment will appear.

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